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Personal Wealth and Finance

Wealth Creation in cyclic markets

November 1, 2023

If you are an investor who remembers the mortgage debt crisis of 2008-9, you know that the market lost significant value. From an investment standpoint, the real downside occurred when some investors sold off their equity holdings due to fear mid-way or near the end of the market devaluation.

Hindsight is 20-20. The people who financially survived this market anomaly were the ones who did not sell their good stocks and equities held by investment funds. Many risk-averse investors who may have been tempted to sell but did not, in the long run, found that their patience paid off.  They had an opportunity to hold on and watch their funds’ unit values increase again in one of the most extended bull market periods.

Investor risk is part of life in this world. Massive debt held collectively by individuals, companies or sovereign nations can indirectly affect currencies, bond markets, and interest rates. Geopolitics, macro and microeconomics, corporate banking and national solvency pose a significant financial risk to the world’s capital markets. And high inflation influences rising interest rates.

Bull and Bear markets are cyclic. If there is a hurricane warning, you know it is coming, and you don’t pitch your tent near the beach. Yet, with the stock market, you rarely know when a correction or a bear market is coming (when the stock markets decline 15-20% in value for some time). Investment fund managers will work to retain your value while looking forward to the markets’ recovery in these periods. The nature of the market is cyclic. The intelligent investor who is well-studied and cautious is nevertheless a risk-taker, realizing that one must hold on to investments patiently until the stocks in the fund portfolio regain any lost value and enter a rising bull market period. Balanced portfolios can take advantage of rising interest and bond rates.

Moving money in a family of funds Most funds allow you to move a portion or all of your money into the money market, bond and balanced funds amidst an investment fund family (those offered by the same company), or your advisor may be able to move them into an alternate investment vehicle.

Buy more fund units when prices drop. Consider seeking opportunities among bargain-priced investment fund units. In this way, wealth can be created when buying stocks of many companies held by investment funds when they are priced lower. If you take this strategy, you must be ready to stay invested over the long haul.

An effective strategy, Dollar cost averaging (DCA), involves buying fund units at regular intervals and investing the same amount of money each time. Thus, you buy more fund units when the value is lower and fewer when it is higher. DCA is an investment strategy many investors utilize during a long-term bear market because you increasingly purchase more fund units at lower prices. If you need to get more familiar with the benefits of that concept, please feel free to talk to your investment fund representative.

Insofar as you realize the risk of investing to produce long-term gain and beat inflation, you can make bear markets work for you if you are patient. This is because a bear market paves the way to the next bull market when rising prices may take your investment funds higher in value.


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